3 December 2025

Canberra shivers through coldest start to summer on record - but hotter days (and nights) are on the way

| By James Coleman
Join the conversation
50
Sun shining on plant leaves

Higher-than-average nighttime temperatures are on the way for Canberra. Photo: James Coleman.

Canberra woke to its coldest start to summer since records began, with temperatures dipping below zero yesterday (2 December).

The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) confirmed the Canberra Airport weather station hit -0.3 degrees Celsius at 5:48 am, beating the previous low of 0.3 degrees, recorded on 6 December 2012. At the old airport station, the lowest December temperature ever logged was 1.1 degrees in 1964.

But despite the nippy shock, Canberrans shouldn’t expect the cool conditions to stick around. The long-range forecast points strongly the other way.

The BOM’s summer outlook shows warmer-than-average days and nights are likely across NSW and the ACT.

For Canberra specifically, there is an increased chance of “unusually high” overnight temperatures, meaning the kind of sticky evenings locals haven’t experienced for several years.

READ ALSO Asbestos confirmed in coloured sand removed from ACT public schools

Rainfall is more of a mixed bag. The BOM expects below-average rainfall in December for much of NSW and the ACT, but the outlook for January and February sits at a fifty-fifty chance of being wetter or drier.

Nationally, large parts of the country are expecting a hotter and, in places, drier season. The BOM notes an increased chance of unusually warm daytime temperatures across the southeast – including the ACT – as well as significant parts of Queensland and the northwest.

Climate drivers are shifting, too. A weak, short-lived La Niña has formed in the Pacific, even though the BOM says it’s unlikely to have much impact on rainfall this summer.

Rain on Commonwealth Avenue

Good weather for ducks? There’s a 50-50 chance of above-average or below-average rainfall for the ACT. Photo: File.

In the short term, temperatures have been rising rapidly since Tuesday’s low.

Today will reach a high of 27 degrees, followed by a sunny Thursday with a top of 31. Friday will push to 35 degrees under mostly sunny skies. Saturday will bring a warm, windy 34 degrees with a chance of a shower or two, followed by a cooler, mostly sunny Sunday reaching 27 degrees.

At this stage, Monday is expected to sit around 28 degrees before the mercury climbs again to 32 degrees for Tuesday.

woman in a green top

ACT Chief Medical Officer Kerryn Coleman is warning Canberrans to be careful in the heat. Photo: ACT Health.

With the warm weather – and particularly warm nights – about to return, health authorities are urging Canberrans to watch for symptoms of heat exhaustion before they turn deadly.

“We do certainly see people who have heat-related illnesses often, and this is really good that we see it in the early phases,” ACT Chief Health Officer Dr Kerryn Coleman said.

“When we see the most heat-related illnesses is when we have several evenings where the minimum temperature doesn’t go down far enough, so our bodies remain stressed at night and never get to recover.

“After about two or three days of high maximums or moderate maximums, but also high minimum temperatures, people start to really feel potentially unwell.”

She said the early symptoms – dizziness, headaches or nausea – are signs to rest, drink water and cool down.

“Be on the lookout for signs of heat-related illness, and take actions to cool down and hydrate. If you or someone in your care becomes very unwell from heat-related illness, seek medical attention,” she said.

READ ALSO How Qatar Airways delivered the best Christmas present ever for Canberra Airport

Summer also marks the most common time of year for food poisoning, thanks to bacteria multiplying more quickly in warm weather.

Victor Martin, Executive Branch Manager of the ACT Health Protection Service, said people should take extra care when cooking and storing food.

“We know summer is a time for sharing meals with friends and family, but no one wants their celebration spoiled by food poisoning,” he said.

He said good hygiene, cooking meats thoroughly, keeping food at safe temperatures, thawing food in the fridge rather than on the kitchen bench, refrigerating leftovers promptly and avoiding food preparation when unwell will all help reduce the risk.

Common symptoms of food-borne illness include nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea and stomach cramps. Most cases can be managed at home with fluids, but anyone experiencing severe or prolonged symptoms should seek medical advice.

The BOM updates its seasonal forecast every week, and detailed local outlooks are available on its website. Summer safety advice, including heat and food-handling tips, can be found at ACT Health.

Free Daily Digest

Want the best Canberra news delivered daily? We package the most-read Canberra stories and send them to your inbox. Sign-up now for trusted local news that will never be behind a paywall.
Loading
By submitting your email address you are agreeing to Region Group's terms and conditions and privacy policy.

Join the conversation

50
All Comments
  • All Comments
  • Website Comments
LatestOldest

The fact is it’s easier to warm up than cool off. Your core body temperature burns at around+35C. Let’s face it, the only way to cool off is to get naked or wet and neither one is appropriate when in public. Whereas to warm up; eat spicy foods, hot drinks, dress warmly, exercise…

closer to 40 the better and i dont have aircon. i prefer hot to cold.

I’m grateful for the cold start, I can’t stand the heat. I’d move to Iceland if I was capable.

Cold weather – nothing to see here. A hot day in summer – Chicken Little runs wild

Over the last decade, warmest Winters ever recorded around the planet and 2023 the record warm Winter in Australia.

Futureproof sees nothing, and does not understand what additional energy in the climate system does to extremes.

“Additional energy in the climate system” AI is copping a beating today

FP probably read this article Axon. Something perhaps you should do too. Either scroll up, or use this link.

“Coldest start to summer on record” is the title.

https://region.com.au/canberra-shivers-through-coldest-start-to-summer-on-record-but-hotter-days-and-nights-are-on-the-way/926450/#comments

Capital Retro1:37 pm 04 Dec 25

I haven’t noticed that.

Good point FP – we do hear some wild comments from Axon but “additional energy in the climate system” is out there. What’s even a climate system ?

To put additional energy in there do you reckon they hooked up the climate system to a big battery ?

Futureproof, you have previously been found wanting when asked to back up some claim or other you made. The fact you refer to AI helps to understand that deficiency.

Penfold, thanks for the rambling nonsense, and the admission you do not even know what energy is. Oh, wait, we already knew that in other contexts.

Repeatedly outing your own ignorance isn’t the “win” you think it is Pengold.

Although you never were too good at understanding the difference between energy and electricity.

For a person who confuses electricity and energy Axon, that’s one of your crazy bravest calls yet.

Clearly you’ve made a howler here. Seems your options are twofold – admit your comment was not thought out or – if you want to stand by it – give us an example of what this “additional energy in the climate system” might possibly be.

Energy in the climate system …. hmmm …. yes i fully admit i have no idea what this could be. Is it from the sun ? In which case how is there “additional energy” ?

Have the clever climate scientist developed batteries which plug into the climate system (sic) ?

And what is it that it “does to extremes” ?

Now besides the obvious grammatical issues here, there seems to be a serious misunderstanding of weather, climate and, well, science. Can we see this energy, where does it exist ?

I’d be deligted to be proven wrong, though that would require some scientific references Axon, possibly peer reviewed. And you’d have to do better that the hot and cold nonesense you’ve posted in this forum which countless medical research has rendered and rubbish.

Go on, have a go ….

This is just too funny now, Penzero repeatedly outlining his own ignorance. Now not understanding the most basic principles of what makes a system. Something that even cursory research would have solved for him.

Instead we get a full admission of his own lack of knowledge.

The Goldfish in full flight 😂👨‍🦯

“give us an example of what this “additional energy in the climate system” might possibly be.”

Atmospheric and oceanic heat energy trapped owing to rising greenhouse gasses exacerbated by human activity. Heat not lost outside the atmosphere in previous equilibrium.

You are so clueless, genuinely so, and can never help prefacing your latest blunder with a lie about what other people said.

Like moths to a flame, cold weather attracts them…..

Capital Retro6:03 pm 03 Dec 25

Chewy, moths are not attracted to flames, but their innate navigation system causes them to fly erratically toward light sources like flames, which can lead to their destruction.

Moths use a system called dorsal light response, where they keep their back angled towards a light source, which historically helped them navigate at night using the moon and stars.

However, with artificial light, the close proximity causes them to fly in a spiral, as they constantly try to correct their angle relative to the new light, which ultimately results in them flying into the flame.

CR – did you know Insecta Lepidoptera is from the phylum Arthropoda ? Lots of syllables.

As for the posts, personally i enjoyed the comment “cold weather attracts them”, without so much a hint of irony or self-awareness three days into summer.

We should enjoy this thread, with both Axon and his mate talking up cold weather. And let’s be fair, on a thread entitled “Canberra-shivers-through-coldest-start-to-summer-on-record”, at least for a rare change they’re on topic.

I did ask Axon whether this weather phenomenon had been seen since the last Ice Age but still waiting a response. Must still be crunching the numbers. Patience required ….

Maybe i should have used a fishing analogy, cause the bites are extremely strong every time something like this comes up.

🎣🎣🎣

Oh, did you see those rabid “woke” lefties at Skynews are at it again, predicting we’ll be boiling with extremely high fire danger in the next few days?

What a start to summer.

https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/weather/sweltering-temperatures-and-gusty-winds-driving-extreme-fire-danger-across-much-of-nations-south/news-story/6626259425124b695fea853ed4232403

Over 30 degrees forecast for the next few days too….

I know the goldfish likes his weather.

“I did ask Axon…” No, not in this thread and nor in my recollection elsewhere so Penfold is making it up again.

And what weather phenomenon? The wind blowing in one of your ears and out the other?

The coldest-start-to-summer in-recorded-history weather phenomenon.

Penfold, you appear to be asking whether there has been a previous coldest start to Summer in recorded history since the last ice age.

The answer is yes. It was the coldest start to a Summer which is superseded by this one. There will have been one before that too.

Are you getting the hang of it? For something to be “coldest” there has to have been one before not quite as cold.

Pleased to help.

Unfortunately Axon that didn’t help very much. The question wasn’t about the coldest start, it was “when there’s ever been a chillier start to summer.” It’s quite possible the answer was the last ice age, but with the BoM fiddling with those past temperature records it’s hard to tell.

It sounds like the problem at your end is distinguishing between the relative and the absolute. In your defence, comprehension can be tricky and it requires attention to detail.

The statement was since records began. Answered. Quite possibly it was colder when Australia, part of Sahul, was further south nearer Antarctica. None of this has any impact on the facts of human-forced global climate change and its effects.

Are you also trying to pretend you understand proportions now? No sign yet.

Yep, welcome to summer. Freezing temperatures and a Bureau warning us that it’s going to be boiling.

Same as last year, with the extra beauty of “50-50 chance of being wetter or drier”. What on earth does that actually mean ?

BoM computer modelling using the advanced coin toss feature

That you do not know what it means is a mark of your signal failure anywhere near a number.

No wonder you have not a clue about energy change in warming climate systems.

FP – yes BOM seemed to have channelled a two-up game in making weather predictions now. Perhaps all that Accenture spend cleaned them out of resources.

Hi Axon – thanks for the feedback. The question of what “50-50 chance of being wetter or drier” meant was of course mathematical in nature and invoked probability theory. Tbh I would have thought that the chances of things being wetter or drier was more likely to be above 99% but I’d have to go back and analyse rainfall records for a few decades to be sure. Notably your response wasn’t able to provide any enlightenment.

But what a start to summer, two mornings in a row where the app temperature in Canberra was below zero. Perhaps your sharp analytical skills to tell us when there’s ever been a chillier start to summer. Last Ice Age maybe ?

This is particularly troubling because despite the ACT CHO discussing “heat-related illnesses”, we know from empirical scientific and medical data that cold weather has nine times more adverse impact than hotter weather. Let’s hope BoM do get these forecasts of hotter weather correct on that basis.

“But what a start to summer, two mornings in a row where the app temperature in Canberra was below zero.”

Why is it unsurprising that Pengold can’t even read a simple temperature number correctly?

The “sharp analytical skills” looking, as usual, like a dull butter knife.

Also LOL at attempting to talk mathematics again, you’d think he’d learn to stay well away after the repeated failures to understand the most basic mathematics.

Pretty hot outside today and it’s going to be over 30 degrees the next few days.

Still not as much hot air as that being released by Penzero and the fellow Groupthinkers though.

Penfold’s claim that cold weather has a more adverse health impact than hot weather is another classical example of Penfold’s complete incapacity with any number, proportion or probability. It is also completely false.

Now watch Penfold try to justify it. It will be on the basis that he does not understand proportional impacts from corresponding variation on similar populations.

As for “Tbh I would have thought that the chances of things being wetter or drier was more likely to be above 99%” this is LMAO ridiculous. At least “Tbh” admits he is accidentally honest about how little he knows.

Knowing how to spell probability does not endow you with the slightest knowledge of the subject, Penfold, as most would see. I find it pretty funny whenever you try to pretend otherwise.

Sorry to bring scientific findings into the conversation Axon but as these studies have found cold impacts exceed heat impacts by multiples of around 10.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519625000543

https://www.healthyhomes.org.au/news/heh1pp76ot3hpljgf9x3mp7umqndch

If you bother to dive into studies like this you’d learn this applies in Hobart, Sydney and Cairns.

As for the 99%, you’ll need to learn about standard deviations. I did suggest you “analyse rainfall records for a few decades to be sure” but clearly that was too big an ask.

Isn’t that the beauty of this forum though Axon, you can learn something !

“Isn’t that the beauty of this forum though Axon, you can learn something !”

Well clearly not, if your comments are anything to go by.

Although you could be on to something with these “woke” outlets constantly catastrophising that we’re going to be “boiling”…

https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/weather/extreme-heat-forecast-to-sweep-from-perth-to-sydney-throughout-the-week-with-45-to-48c-forecast-across-australias-interior/news-story/6e6981a3ad581bd702f17bcfaae449a0

And Penfold walks right in, barrels aimed at both feet, in exactly the fashion I predicted. I wrote “It will be on the basis that he does not understand proportional impacts from corresponding variation on similar populations.” and so it is.

Pehfold’s own primary reference says, quite early, “relative risk of death was higher on the hottest day” but, there were fewer hotter days. Proportional impacts.

In fact the death rate at about 3° which is 20° below the optimal 23.6°, is no greater than just 6° above, 29°. Even from 27° the heat death rate is surging whereas the death from cold at low temperatures flattens. Corresponding variation.

Heat and cold deaths vary with latitude and difference from adapted conditions, and population size. Similar populations.

The area under the curve for cold temperatures was far greater and hot days fewer. Proportions again. As the referenced article says, on the average coldest day of 1.4°C, or -22 on the optimal temperature, death rate was 50% higher, but on the average hottest day of 32.1°C, just +8.5°C above the optimal, death rate was 240% higher. Its those proportional impacts and corresponding variation again.

Numbers, they are tough for Penfold, just like words. He cannot even read his own reference which states all of the above. Penfold’s claim was “…cold weather has nine times more adverse impact than hotter weather.” Wrong. The numbers of deaths from cold are currently greater but heat has a far greater adverse impact, one reason acting on climate change is so important.

Penfold has published this nonsense before, and I corrected it then. It must be a CIS/IPA/Sky talking point he forgot he had regurgitated earlier so he regurgitated again. Sickening.

Penfold, you know nothing about probability or statistical analysis though you are clearly desperate to twist the topic of discussion so you can pretend you do.

Axon – thanks for those numbers. Despite trying to bamboozle us with all of them, there’s really only two that matter. Here you go:

“6.5% of deaths in this country are attributed to cold weather, compared with 0.5% from hot weather.”

You made this statement “Penfold’s claim that cold weather has a more adverse health impact than hot weather is another classical example of Penfold’s complete incapacity with any number, proportion or probability. It is also completely false.”

So despite confirming that the point of the ACT CHO was baseless, you’ve also now conceded that there’s far more impact from cold than heat and your claim was simply rubbish. Thank you, apology incoming no doubt.

In other news rumour has it that the ALP government is finally investigating nuclear power. Someone has woken up to reality (hint: AEMO).

Sorry to burst two of your intransient beliefs in one post. 🙂

Btw did you enjoy writing these words as much as i enjoyed reading them: “there were fewer hotter days”.

“Penfold has published this nonsense before, and I corrected it then. It must be a CIS/IPA/Sky talking point he forgot he had regurgitated earlier so he regurgitated again. Sickening”.

Oh no Axon, he knows very well he’s posted the same information previously, where it was completely discredited.

It’s part of the bad faith arguments and failed trolling that is his MO, he isn’t remotely interested in having an honest debate, discussing ideas or learning anything. His world-view is pure black and white, no grey.

Pure regurgitation of failed talking points sourced from his groupthink echo chamber. High volume, ad nauseum.

I wrote: “Penfold’s claim that cold weather has a more adverse health impact than hot weather is another classical example of Penfold’s complete incapacity with any number, proportion or probability. It is also completely false.”

As Penfold’s own reference says: “relative risk of death was higher on the hottest day” and it takes only a few degrees above the ideal 23.6 to exceed the adverse impact of twenty degrees below.

Done and dusted.

For the curious, this dramatic difference in adverse health impact is illustrated in the first chart in the reference’s appendix, under “Supplementary Material” at the end of the paper. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2542519625000543

You can see Penfold avoiding it furiously as always, admitting he has no interest in understanding it (writing “bamboozled” but with no questions). When he spouts nonsense about what other people said, never even trying to deal with facts in his own document, he treats all other readers as fools (a sad lack of self-awareness).
With similar attitudes it is no wonder LNP polling is so dire, as the AFR admitted after net zero was ditched whereas Penfold had trumpeted it would lead to resurgence.

It is true, chewy14, that Penfold’s is a standard false talking point from the CISIPASky cabal. One might hope he could hold out an extra couple of weeks before returning to his own regurgitation but I guess that is what a lack of imagination does for him.

Well there’s probably only two relevant comwments to make on that rambling post Axon.

1 – clearly the views of the medical and scientific fraternities are far inferior to yours

2 – when SkyNews quotes the Bureau of Meteorology somehow it becomes a News Limited weather forecast rather than a BoM one. How’s that work ?

CaptainSpiff10:39 am 04 Dec 25

Pathetic waffle Axon, and I’m sure you know it yourself 🙂

Try typing “does cold weather or hot weather kill more people each year” into Google or Chatgpt and tell us what you find. This is truly basic stuff.

Penfold, I did not mention Sky News quoting BoM. Please try to keep up.

I relied on and quoted the medical and scientific community which clearly shows the adverse effects of increased heat exceed adverse effects of correspondingly greater cold. Your usual attempt to divert from that with a false claim that I said otherwise is the usual failure.

CaptainSpiff, when you figure out what the subject is, get back to me.

Alternatively, try googling “do more people drown in Summer than Winter” then explaining to yourself it must be that Winter water is so much safer than Summer water. If you manage to work out the real difference, it will be a stepping stone for you to this.

Captainspiff,
It’s not remotely waffle, because the research into the issue is based on a subjective definition of “hot” and “cold” that is derived from the lowest risk “optimal” temperature.

The health risk of days hotter than this optimal temperature is far higher than for days that are lower temperature.

Hence as climate change increases temperature, the health risk dramatically increases overall.

You are right about 1 thing though, this is truly basic stuff.

CaptainSpiff12:05 pm 04 Dec 25

Yet more cultist nonsense from Axon and chewy. Here’s another question for you. The last century has seen the climate warming by roughly 1 degree. Has that change resulted in a net increase or decrease in temperature related deaths?

CaptainSpiff just sit back and laugh. Axon’s in such a reality-driven spin cycle that he keeps posting claims that the cold is far more damaging than heat, and there’s far more cold days than hot ones.

Oh, wait on ….

CaptainSpiff, a net increase.

Seriously, what did you expect from the facts?

Annual heat-related deaths have increased 40% from 1990 to 2020 (The Lancet). The same source advises that on a decadal comparison 1990-1999 to 2012-2020 the rise is over 63%. The mortality rate is age-adjusted to account for more older people who may be considered more susceptible yet research from Mexico suggests that in fact the young are significantly heat affected owing to stress from greater activity levels in wrm conditions.

Yale research found that in just ten years from 2000-2009 heat deaths increased 53% in the USA compared with a 7% increase in cold deaths, exactly as Penfold’s referenced study predicts and I cited. “These findings underscore that extreme temperatures are significant threats to human health, … heat is becoming increasingly dangerous as extreme heat events grow more frequent and intense.”

These facts were predictable from my discussion of Penfold’s referenced study above, a study cited in the bibliography to The Lancet’s conclusions, by the way. That is, wholly contrary to what CISIPASKY and Penfold fantasised it meant.

How is your denialist cult going, CaptainSpiff?

Again, Penfold tries escape by claiming I posted something which I did not, his usual pretence when lost.

Penfold can rebut none of the facts; never tries. His desperate search for relevance continues.

Yet more cultish nonsense from Spiff and Pengold to ignore the actual evidence presented, even following up with the standard Pengold attempt to divert the subject.

Global mortality across the board in the last 100 years has improved regardless of cause. The question is a clear attempt at misdirection to avoid the actual evidence presented about risk factors and their relative levels.

Love it Axon, as Lancet seems to be your preferred source, let’s explore that.

But before we start, your “increased deaths” stat really is meaningless compared to actual, real, factual numbers. Here’s a few:

“A recent Lancet study shows that if we count all the additional deaths from too-hot temperatures globally, heat kills nearly half a million people each year. But too-cold temperatures are more than nine-times deadlier, killing over 4.5 million people.”

“In Canada, unsurprisingly, cold is even deadlier, killing more than 12 times more than heat. Each year, about 1,400 Canadians die from heat, but more than 17,000 die because of the cold.”

https://www.fraserinstitute.org/commentary/misinformed-hyped-heat-deaths-and-ignored-cold-deaths

Now let’s just repeat those numbers for clarity – hot = 500,000. cold = 4,500,000. Every one an avoidable tragedy.

They’ve even been kind enough to do the maths Axon so you don’t need to – “nine-times deadlier”. That’s 9, which is 1 less than 10. Or to use your favourite Axonmatics, 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1. Times (that’s multiplication).

But do you know what’s even worse ? With blackout Bowen and Labor sending power prices into orbit, it’s going to be harder for poorer and older Aussies to turn on the heat in winter. So the impact might be even worse in Australia than other parts of the world.

Pretty grim when you look at it all isn’t it ? Maybe time to get some nice clean, reliable nuclear power in the system. That’s the national electricity system.

CaptainSpiff11:32 pm 04 Dec 25

Axon, time to revisit elementary maths and learn what net effects are. Hint – a percentage needs to be multiplied by a baseline to get a net number. Yep, I know, pretty complicated.

Even your fellow cultists acknowledge that the net effect of the mild warming that has happened so far, has been to reduce temperature related mortality. This is not in any way controversial.

https://ourworldindata.org/part-two-how-many-people-die-from-extreme-temperatures-and-how-could-this-change-in-the-future

CaptainSpiff, it is always interesting to watch someone who denies human-forced climate change contrary to all relevant science, measured social opinion, majority business opinion, the majority of world leaders, and recently measured effects, claim it is that fact-following majority which is a cult. Impressive self-awareness there.

It seems your thing is to try to claim that global warming might even be good for us. In context of your general position, there is little cause to waste time on that.

Similarly, you seek to define terms to suit yourself. Chewy14 covered relationships to total population changes while I showed from research the proportional impacts. Even on a population basis, the American research showed over 7 times greater change in impact (more deaths) from heat than cold over a decade and all research is consistent on this score over the last 30+ years. In general countries like America, ourselves, Europe cope better with heat because so many run air conditioning (which itself adds to waste heat in the atmosphere). The medical facts of change in impact remain as I described and undisputed by you or Penfold.

You wrote: “the mild warming that has happened so far”
Your own referenced paper concludes: “heat mortality will be an increasing problem as the planet warms”
for the reasons I described and are charted in my reference: the effect of rising heat is dramatically more than the effect of greater cold.

Penfold needs a lot of words to avoid the proportional change he does not dispute.

CaptainSpiff4:20 pm 05 Dec 25

Axon if it quacks like a cult, it’s a cult. Just look at your own refusal to acknowledge a basic fact (that temperature related mortality is down due to recent warming), just because that fact runs contrary to the cult narrative. If scientific inquiry were actually important to you, you wouldn’t have a problem conceding this point.

Daily Digest

Want the best Canberra news delivered daily? Every day we package the most popular Region Canberra stories and send them straight to your inbox. Sign-up now for trusted local news that will never be behind a paywall.

By submitting your email address you are agreeing to Region Group's terms and conditions and privacy policy.