17 April 2025

HIA calls for 'hard-smart' policies as home construction stalls

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Residential Construction

The HIA says more needs to be done to stimulate house construction. Photo: Michelle Kroll.

The Housing Industry Association is calling for “meaningful change” after the latest building activity data revealed new home construction in Australia is at its lowest level in more than a decade.

HIA Chief Economist Tim Reardon said just 168,050 new homes started construction in 2024.

“Australia has consistently built more than 200,000 homes each year and will need to exceed 250,000 annually to meet the Australian Government’s 1.2 million homes target,” Mr Reardon said.

“Home building is currently at the bottom of a cycle and is losing skilled workers to other industry sectors, which impedes future building capacity.

“Despite the low volume of new homes commencing construction, demand for skilled tradespeople remains high, just not in the new home building sector. The exceptionally low rate of unemployment, and their rare skills, see them in high demand from other industry sectors.”

Mr Reardon said the more workers lost from the home building sector in this cycle, the harder and more expensive it would be to increase capacity as interest rates fall and activity picks up.

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“The exceptionally low level of unemployment in Australia is a double-edged sword for the industry as it creates demand for new homes and at the same time, leads to higher labour costs to build a new home,” he said.

“The major (political) parties have announced measures aimed at building more new homes. In the short term, the only measure that an incoming Australian Government can take to increase the supply of new homes is to offset the cost of taxes, fees and charges by providing financial support for those who build a new home.

“Removing the imposts, such as lenders mortgage insurance or removing first home buyers from the established market and incentivising them to build a new home, can increase the supply of new homes.

“These are the ‘easy-good’ solutions to the housing shortage.

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“This doesn’t negate the need for the ‘hard-smart’ policies tackling land supply, infrastructure costs, planning regimes and delays to home building and reform of taxes on new homes.

“An investment in infrastructure, or tax reform or reducing delays, won’t impact the price or supply of housing within an election cycle, but if they are sustained over a decade, they will begin to ease the cost of a new home.”

He added that this should not be an excuse for politicians to renege on their responsibility to address housing affordability by arresting the high cost of delivering new land and rising taxes on housing.

HIA forecasts that only 983,530 new homes will commence construction over that five-year period, unless meaningful changes to remove the barriers to supply are made.

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Incidental Tourist9:21 am 23 Apr 25

There is no evidence that extra red tape proportionally protect workers and consumers. However, we see a “rule of diminishing returns,” when new regulations become more bureaucratic burdens without adding much tangible value. Someone has to pay for this, and it will eventually be either the consumer via increased housing prices or ACT Government itself through reduced tax take, and falling revenue from land sales.

Another aspect is the outflow of capital interstate as investors are deterred by the territory’s policies, particularly prohibitive anti-landlord legislation (rent caps and removal of no-reason lease termination). Existing landlords sell up, undermining construction activity while fewer new investors replace them. Perhaps relaxing tenancy legislation would be a cheaper and faster option for ACT Government – it doesn’t cost anything to make an inquiry or seek feedback on rental reform. The time is running out as further delay will risk missing its 30,000 new housing target by 2030.

Oh what a surprise, the Housing Industry Association whose members are those in the residential construction, development and home building industries has its hands out again wanting the government to provide them financial support to offset the costs of paying taxes. Oh the hypocrisy! This is the same industry who squawks the loudest when the government introduces building regulations and health and safety legislation to protect consumers and workers and rein in the fraudulent, reckless and underhanded behaviour we so often see. Thankfully there are Labor governments around the country who are committed to reforming and cleaning up the industry.

The HIA is now urging voters to vote for a party at the upcoming election who will do their bidding by softening building and construction laws to restrict government oversight and cut red tape. Laws which have been introduced to protect workers and consumers and curb the reckless, underhanded and shoddy building practices we so often see. Shoddy and dangerous building practices, unqualified builders, substandard materials, project delays and cost overruns, shortcuts and safety risks leading to deaths and injuries, corrupt construction and certifying practices, etc. etc.

Maybe with a returned Albanese government we will see the same level of scrutiny they directed towards the CFMEU with a renewed focus on the building and construction industries, introducing laws to curb irresponsible behaviour and weeding out fraud and corruption which is so often seen from them.

Australia is on track to have 3 million homeless by 2030. We can’t even build enough housing to meet the 400,000 new migrants coming to this country each year, let alone meet internal demand. No wonder there are tent cities popping up everywhere you look.

Incidental Tourist4:28 pm 20 Apr 25

States and ACT in particular love property taxes and red tapes. Land tax, triple rates, LVR plus tenancy regulations all put brakes on residential constructions. Add to it uncertainty around capital gains tax. Are we surprised that people divest away from housing?

devils_advocate2:31 pm 22 Apr 25

While all that is correct, I would point out that all of those anti-development policies also raise the barriers to entry (regulatory, capital) for new market entrants on the supply side.

So on the bright side, it means improved profitability and less competition for the incumbent builders and developers.

Incidental Tourist8:06 am 23 Apr 25

I agree with raised business entry barriers. However improved profitability (at least in short term) is in question. Yes, there is extra premium added to costs. But it is taken by taxes and compliance costs which are not profit. Reduced competition will eventually factor into profit but to get there we need to watch one-two property cycles completed.

devils_advocate1:09 pm 23 Apr 25

No need for multiple cycles. A large number of urban infill projects were abandoned when the LVC went from $7000 to $32,000 and never really recovered.

A developer can pretty much ask what they like for a well-located townhome on a redevelopment site because there’s little else on the market.

Incidental Tourist4:55 pm 23 Apr 25

I think LVC is $43K per dwelling. I don’t think developers can sell well enough to recover extra costs because they are undercut by disgruntled landlords who are selling off below replacement value.

devils_advocate9:34 am 24 Apr 25

Correct, it is now $43k and heading skywards.

However the jump (around 2017 or so) from $7k to $32k was a significant leap and a game changer in terms of project feasibility and saw a lot of projects killed and sites sitting undeveloped.

Anyone paying attention would have seen a lot of development sites come onto the market during that time.

Many of the developments I knew of personally are still sitting there undeveloped and by now the approvals would have lapsed.

Incidental Tourist8:11 pm 24 Apr 25

You are right. By the way in 2017 also the land tax formula for strata units was “amended” so that land tax for units was doubled literally overnight. Maybe coincidence?

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