Pauline Hanson wants One Nation to one day form government. Photo: Wiki.
One Nation support is surging at the expense of the Coalition, but both major parties have seen a drop since December’s Bondi terror attack and the fighting over gun laws and hate speech.
The latest Roy Morgan Poll shows primary support for the Federal Government and the Federal Opposition dip, while One Nation support jumped 6 per cent to a record high of 21 per cent.
The survey of a representative cross-section of 1630 Australians between 12 and 18 January shows an increased lead for Labor in two-party-preferred terms due to the shift in support from the Coalition to One Nation.
Primary support for the ALP fell 1.5 per cent to 28.5 per cent, the Coalition dropped 6.5 per cent to 24 per cent, the Greens were unchanged on 13.5 per cent while independents/other parties were up 2 per cent to 13 per cent.
On a two-party preferred basis, the ALP is up 1.5 per cent to 53.5 per cent, increasing its lead over the Coalition, which now sits on 46.5 per cent.
“Nonetheless, if a federal election were held now the ALP would be returned to government with a decreased majority,” the pollster’s report states.
“Support for One Nation is highest in New South Wales at 26 per cent and Queensland at 24 per cent – and ahead of the Coalition on primary vote in both of these key States.
“Support for the Coalition is at only 19 per cent in New South Wales and at 22 per cent in Queensland.”
It follows the latest Newspoll that put One Nation’s primary vote at a record 22 per cent, overtaking the Coalition on 21 per cent, while Labor’s primary vote is 32 per cent.
Following the publishing of that poll, One Nation leader Pauline Hanson said she wants her party to gain enough support to form government.
“I want to thank the Australian people for their support and confidence they are now advocating for One Nation,” she said at Parliament House.
“This is the first poll in Australia’s history that another party is polling higher than one of the major parties.
“I am proud to acknowledge One Nation is polling higher than the Liberals.
“I’m not just here to prop up the Coalition or the Labor Party or anyone else. I have put out clear policies now for three decades.”
The Morgan Poll went to a number of specific policy issues, and found confidence in government to be unchanged since its previous poll a week earlier.
That’s no comfort for the government: a majority of voters (57.5 per cent) now say the country is “going in the wrong direction” and only 30.5 per cent of Australians say the country is “going in the right direction”.
Ahead of Australia Day, a special Roy Morgan Poll on Australia Day revealed sentiment to be still split on political lines.
An increased majority of Australians say January 26 should be known as “Australia Day” rather than “Invasion Day” and the date of Australia Day should not be moved.
“Over the last two years, there has been a steady increase in support for Australia Day remaining as is,” the update says.
“Seventy-two per cent of Australians now say January 26 should be known as Australia Day (up 3.5% from 2024) and only 28 per cent say the day should be known as Invasion Day.
“The result is somewhat closer in terms of moving the date, but support has increased for leaving the date alone.
“Now 60.5 per cent (up 2 per cent since 2024) say the date should remain the same while 39.5 per cent say the date should be moved.
“This is the highest support for Australia Day recorded by Roy Morgan.
“There is majority support for Australia Day retaining its name and date across all age groups, genders, and all States.”
